Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
49.26% | 22.51% | 28.22% |
Both teams to score 63.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.94% | 37.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.74% | 59.26% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.62% | 15.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.83% | 44.16% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% | 25.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.86% | 60.14% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 4.02% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.98% Total : 49.26% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-1 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 1.68% 1-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |