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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Montreal Impact

Nashville
4 - 1
Montreal

Surridge (11', 47', 82'), Zimmerman (20')
Godoy (57'), Muyl (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zimmerman (64' og.)
Piette (29'), Wanyama (90'), Zouhir (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal

The return of Zimmerman should drastically improve the Nashville backline, but even without him, we believe they will be able to shut down a Montreal attack missing plenty of key pieces and who tend to sustain a lot more pressure away from home, something the Boys in Gold can take advantage of. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawCF Montreal
55.21% (-1.424 -1.42) 23.15% (0.309 0.31) 21.64% (1.109 1.11)
Both teams to score 53.68% (0.631 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)46.32% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)68.6% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.483 -0.48)16.63% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (-0.868 -0.87)46.47% (0.862 0.86)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4% (1.12 1.12)35.6% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (1.141 1.14)72.37% (-1.146 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 55.21%
    CF Montreal 21.64%
    Draw 23.15%
Nashville SCDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 55.21%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.238 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.64%

How you voted: Nashville vs Montreal

Nashville SC
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
CF Montreal
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Mar 12, 2023 1.30am
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Gameweek 32
Montreal
0-1
Nashville
Bassong (44')
Williams (41'), Anunga (58'), Willis (85')
Jun 27, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Nashville
1-1
Montreal
Danladi (90+4')
Lovitz (89')
Struna (63')
Camacho (33'), Toye (42'), Miller (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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