MX23RW : Monday, May 13 12:40:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Vasco da Gama

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Vasco

Erick (26')
Fernandinho (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Moura (16')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 0-4 Criciuma
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawVasco da Gama
60.08% (-1.145 -1.15) 21.47% (0.542 0.54) 18.45% (0.6 0.6)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.68 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-1.466 -1.47)43.34% (1.463 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (-1.461 -1.46)65.73% (1.457 1.46)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-0.815 -0.81)14.01% (0.812 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (-1.625 -1.63)41.55% (1.622 1.62)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (-0.195 -0.2)37.17% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (-0.194 -0.19)73.96% (0.19 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 60.07%
    Vasco da Gama 18.45%
    Draw 21.46%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 60.07%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.288 0.29)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.328 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.46%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.299 0.3)
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 18.45%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 35
Athletico PR
0-0
Vasco
Cuello (45+2')
Maicon (54'), Pele (62'), Gomes (75'), Bambu (90+1')
Jul 23, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 16
Vasco
0-2
Athletico PR

Vitor Geminiano Cavalieri (35'), Jair (65')
Christian (71'), Bueno (80' pen.)
Carvalho (36'), Khellven (41'), Fernandinho (58'), Esquivel (70')
Ivaldo (90+5')
Dec 27, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 27
Athletico PR
3-0
Vasco
Nikao (10'), Eduardo (38', 61')

Carlinhos (45+1')
Sep 6, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 8
Vasco
1-0
Athletico PR
Cano (7')
Borges (3')

Geuvanio (89')
Sep 22, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 20
Vasco
1-1
Athletico PR
Danilo (69' pen.)
Pikachu (45'), Richard (79'), Henriquez (90')
Madson (49')
Pereira (26'), Martins (64'), Rony (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Cruzeiro531187110
6Atletico Mineiro52309369
7BragantinoBragantino62317619
8PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
9Sao Paulo52128537
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense5122710-35
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!