Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
39.78% | 23.7% | 36.52% |
Both teams to score 62.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.55% | 39.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.21% | 61.79% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% | 20.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.61% | 52.39% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% | 21.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.14% | 54.86% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.55% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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