Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
49.22% | 22.2% | 28.58% |
Both teams to score 64.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.73% | 35.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.71% | 57.29% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.27% | 14.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.05% | 42.94% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% | 24.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.46% | 58.54% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.92% 3-2 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.09% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.58% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-1 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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