Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Roma |
32.79% | 23.38% | 43.83% |
Both teams to score 62.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.24% | 38.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.93% | 61.06% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% | 23.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% | 57.37% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% | 18.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.01% | 48.99% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.63% 1-0 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.76% Total : 43.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |