Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
33.92% | 24.54% | 41.54% |
Both teams to score 58.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.03% | 43.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.64% | 66.36% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% | 25.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% | 59.96% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% | 21.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.85% | 54.14% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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