Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Bologna |
58.84% | 20.96% | 20.21% |
Both teams to score 58.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.7% | 38.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.42% | 60.59% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.24% | 12.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.96% | 39.05% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.59% | 32.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.07% | 68.94% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 8.77% 1-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 6.78% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.49% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.81% Total : 58.84% | 1-1 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-1 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.41% Total : 20.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |