Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Nacional |
45.9% | 27.54% | 26.56% |
Both teams to score 45.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.87% | 59.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.43% | 79.57% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.25% | 25.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.31% | 60.69% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% | 38.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% | 75% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 13.36% 2-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.11% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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