Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Moreirense |
40.24% | 27.99% | 31.76% |
Both teams to score 47.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.28% | 58.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.74% | 79.25% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% | 28.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% | 64.35% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.04% | 33.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% | 70.63% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.15% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.71% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |