Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Toronto2 - 3NY City
Bernardeschi (55'), Petretta (89')
Bernardeschi (22'), Rosted (36'), Long (53')
Bernardeschi (90+9')
Bernardeschi (22'), Rosted (36'), Long (53')
Bernardeschi (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Colorado
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Toronto 1-1 New York City FC
The Reds have been fairly tidy defensively at BMO Field, conceding a goal or fewer in all but one of their regular season home fixtures, and we believe they will be able to limit the Pigeons' opportunities this weekend. NYCFC are a different side away from home, though they usually can hang around in those contests, which is why we project they will be able to nab a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
44.81% ( 0.04) | 26.05% ( 0.01) | 29.14% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
