Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
65.12% ( 5.83) | 19.27% ( -1.93) | 15.61% ( -3.9) |
Both teams to score 55.58% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.65% ( 2.13) | 38.35% ( -2.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.37% ( 2.22) | 60.63% ( -2.22) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.95% ( 2.27) | 11.05% ( -2.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.6% ( 4.78) | 35.4% ( -4.78) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% ( -3.14) | 37.51% ( 3.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% ( -3.22) | 74.3% ( 3.22) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 1.13) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.56) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.92) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.62) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.52) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.4) Other @ 4.35% Total : 65.12% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.9) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.47) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.43) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.27% | 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.88) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.82) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.44) Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |