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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 27, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Tondela

Nacional
2 - 0
Tondela

Micael (1'), Riascos (68')
Borges (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bebeto (18'), Agra (30'), Martinez (81'), Khacef (83')
Bebeto (27'), Khacef (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawTondela
46.21%26.52%27.28%
Both teams to score 49.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.94%55.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.68%76.32%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.96%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58%35.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.19%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 46.2%
    Tondela 27.28%
    Draw 26.51%
NacionalDrawTondela
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 27.28%

How you voted: Nacional vs Tondela

Nacional
50.0%
Draw
40.9%
Tondela
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Nacional
3-2
Tondela
Riascos (36'), Tissone (62'), Goncalves (83')
Guimaraes (21'), Kalindi (89')
Tomane (22' pen.), Moufi (66')
Monteiro (35'), Jaquite (61'), Pedro (79'), Pite (90')
Oct 5, 2018 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Tondela
1-1
Nacional
Bruno (62')
Tavares (89')
Kalindi (65')
Tissone (56'), Jota (90')
Apr 22, 2017 4pm
Tondela
2-0
Nacional
Jailson (63' pen.), Osorio (76')
Pedro (73')

Cesar (71'), Figueiredo (81')
Dec 11, 2016 4pm
Nacional
3-2
Tondela
Kaka (62' og., 89' og.), Cesar (65')
Garcia (54'), Ghazal (79')
Borges (23'), Cardoso (30')
Ferreira (50'), Cardoso (58'), Tambe (79')
Jan 31, 2016 4pm
Nacional
3-1
Tondela
Pinho (5'), Agra (37', 67')
Correia (14'), Ghazal (33'), Aurelio (80')
Murillo (86')
Souza (17'), Moreno (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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