Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw has a probability of 14.4% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.5%), while for an Arouca win it is 1-2 (2.95%).
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
75.71% ( 0.4) | 14.45% ( -0.21) | 9.84% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.43% ( 0.45) | 29.57% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.33% ( 0.55) | 50.67% ( -0.55) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.51% ( 0.18) | 6.49% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.75% ( 0.48) | 24.25% ( -0.48) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.58% ( -0.03) | 40.42% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.97% ( -0.02) | 77.03% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.31% Total : 75.71% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.45% | 1-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 9.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |