Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
35.97% ( 0.33) | 24.29% ( -0.27) | 39.74% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.26% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.61% ( 1.34) | 42.39% ( -1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% ( 1.33) | 64.8% ( -1.32) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.67% ( 0.8) | 23.33% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.72% ( 1.14) | 57.28% ( -1.14) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.59% ( 0.56) | 21.41% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.59% ( 0.85) | 54.41% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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