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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Fulham logo

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Fulham

Robinson (27' og.), McGinn (42'), Watkins (64')
Watkins (66'), Konsa (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jimenez (70')
Palhinha (52'), Robinson (64'), Iwobi (74'), Reed (90+6'), Vinicius (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa move onto 25 points from 12 Premier League matches this season courtesy of a 3-1 win over Fulham on Sunday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 AZ
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawFulham
63.36% (0.965 0.96) 19.87% (-0.151 -0.15) 16.77% (-0.818 -0.82)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-1.245 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (-0.799 -0.8)38.91% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (-0.846 -0.85)61.22% (0.842 0.84)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.019999999999996 0.02)11.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)36.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (-1.426 -1.43)36.44% (1.423 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (-1.468 -1.47)73.23% (1.464 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 63.36%
    Fulham 16.77%
    Draw 19.87%
Aston VillaDrawFulham
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.382 0.38)
1-0 @ 9.14% (0.347 0.35)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.28 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.77% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 63.36%
1-1 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 5% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.87%
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 16.77%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Fulham

Aston Villa
80.4%
Draw
15.5%
Fulham
4.1%
97
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Fulham
0-2
Aston Villa

De Fougerolles (30'), Vinicius (35')
Philogene-Bidace (40'), Diaby (73')
Konsa (35'), Philogene-Bidace (47')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Fulham
3-0
Aston Villa
Reed (36'), Mitrovic (68' pen.), Mings (83' og.)
Apr 4, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
3-1
Fulham
Trezeguet (78', 81'), Watkins (87')
Luiz (15')
Mitrovic (61')
Andersen (16'), Reid (74')
Sep 28, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fulham
0-3
Aston Villa

Reid (11'), Cairney (23'), Bryan (45+3'), Odoi (47'), Le Marchand (68'), Kamara (90+1')
Grealish (4'), Hourihane (15'), Mings (48')
Targett (11'), McGinn (59'), Mings (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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