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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brentford logo
Brighton
2 - 1
Brentford
Gross (31'), Hinshelwood (52')
Paul van Hecke (25'), Buonanotte (45+7'), Gilmour (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbeumo (27' pen.)
Wissa (76')
The Match
Match Report
Jack Hinshelwood scores his first goal in senior football as Brighton & Hove Albion come from a goal down to beat Brentford 2-1 at the Amex Stadium in the Premier League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Luton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
67.04% (-0.398 -0.4) 18.45% (0.176 0.18) 14.51% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.342 -0.34)36.83% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99% (-0.375 -0.38)59.01% (0.377 0.38)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.86% (-0.191 -0.19)10.14% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.65% (-0.438 -0.44)33.35% (0.442 0.44)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (0.085000000000001 0.09)38% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (0.083000000000002 0.08)74.77% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 67.04%
    Brentford 14.51%
    Draw 18.45%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.73% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.51%

How you voted: Brighton vs Brentford

Brighton & Hove Albion
61.1%
Draw
30.9%
Brentford
8.0%
162
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2023 10.30pm
Club Friendlies
Brentford
0-2
Brighton

Onyeka (31'), Zanka (41')
Adingra (19', 58')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brighton
3-3
Brentford
Mitoma (21'), Welbeck (28'), Mac Allister (90' pen.)
Jansson (10'), Toney (22'), Pinnock (49')
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Brentford
2-0
Brighton
Toney (27', 64' pen.)
Jul 26, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Brighton
0-1
Brentford
Toney (80')
Dec 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Brighton
2-0
Brentford
Trossard (34'), Maupay (42')
Webster (59')

Bech Sorensen (38'), Norgaard (45'), Toney (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20136143182545
2Manchester CityMan City20134348232543
3Aston Villa21134443271643
4Arsenal20124437201740
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs21124544311340
6West Ham UnitedWest Ham2010463330334
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd2110292429-532
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton208753833531
9Chelsea219483531431
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2192104132929
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves208483031-128
12Bournemouth197482835-725
13Fulham2173112836-824
14Crystal Palace205692229-721
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2055102435-1120
16Brentford1954102631-519
17Everton2183102428-417
18Luton TownLuton2044122438-1416
19Burnley2133152142-2112
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2023151549-349

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