Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Aston Villa |
27.97% ( -1.41) | 24.24% ( 0.22) | 47.78% ( 1.19) |
Both teams to score 56.86% ( -1.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.7% ( -1.87) | 45.29% ( 1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.36% ( -1.81) | 67.63% ( 1.81) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -1.94) | 29.74% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% ( -2.42) | 65.81% ( 2.42) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% ( -0.25) | 19.06% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.34% ( -0.42) | 50.66% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.23% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.21% Total : 47.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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