We say: Nottingham Forest 2-3 Chelsea
Chelsea's impressive home exploits have not translated into praiseworthy performances on the road in the latter stages of the season, and Forest's effervescent attackers should be licking their lips if the visitors' defensive record on rival turf is anything to go by.
Goals should be a guarantee in this fascinating battle, but a free-scoring Chelsea side who have seen their ranks strengthened by several returning players get our vote to enhance their European credentials and deny Forest the chance to secure their Premier League status.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 34.4% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.26%).