Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Toronto has a probability of 36.99% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Toronto win is 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
36.99% ( 0.41) | 24.61% ( -0.48) | 38.39% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 59.18% ( 1.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.17% ( 2.25) | 43.83% ( -2.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.78% ( 2.16) | 66.22% ( -2.16) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( 1.25) | 23.44% ( -1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.56% ( 1.78) | 57.44% ( -1.78) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% ( 1.04) | 22.71% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% ( 1.52) | 56.37% ( -1.52) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.15% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.54) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |