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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Atlanta
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (90+2'), Bucha (89'), Acosta (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 FC Cincinnati

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table and that is something that could end up being reflected in the match this weekend. Cincinnati has struggled in recent weeks and that is something they need to turn around as soon as possible, but Atlanta's strengths could lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
47.65% (-1.912 -1.91) 23.47% (0.535 0.54) 28.88% (1.377 1.38)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.819 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83% (-1.552 -1.55)41.17% (1.554 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-1.599 -1.6)63.57% (1.599 1.6)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-1.299 -1.3)17.51% (1.299 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (-2.316 -2.32)48.02% (2.317 2.32)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.155 0.16)27% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.2 0.2)62.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 47.65%
    FC Cincinnati 28.88%
    Draw 23.46%
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.244 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.326 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.256 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.452 0.45)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.312 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.88%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Cincinnati

Atlanta United
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
FC Cincinnati
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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