Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
63.07% ( -0.25) | 20.45% ( 0.13) | 16.48% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.85% ( -0.35) | 42.15% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.45% ( -0.35) | 64.55% ( 0.36) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.26% ( -0.17) | 12.75% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61% ( -0.37) | 39% ( 0.37) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.23% ( -0.06) | 38.77% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.49% ( -0.06) | 75.51% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 63.06% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.45% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |