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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Kubo (3')
Nwobodo (32'), Miazga (45+4'), Orellano (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Amaya (19'), Vanzeir (60')
Amaya (70'), Ngoma (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are coming into this match following fairly underwhelming performances last weekend and will be looking for a better showing this week. There is very little to separate these two on paper but Cincinnati's defence, particularly at home, has been impressive and we feel they will be able to manage another shut out here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
55.76% (0.575 0.57) 24.49% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 19.74% (-0.518 -0.52)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (-0.379 -0.38)53.95% (0.375 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.319 -0.32)75.4% (0.315 0.31)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.075000000000003 0.08)19.25% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.125 0.13)50.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (-0.782 -0.78)41.92% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (-0.689 -0.69)78.37% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 55.75%
    New York Red Bulls 19.74%
    Draw 24.49%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.29% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 10.95% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 55.75%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.74%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
New York Red Bulls
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties
Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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