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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Nov 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
FC Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
FT
(aet)
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We say: New York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati

Even with their backs against the wall, we expect the Red Bulls to be patient and passive in this must-win fixture, but we do not believe it will be enough to get the better of a Cincinnati side that did not appear to feel the pressure of being the top seed, while they are more than accustomed to winning close games.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%).

Result
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
50.77% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 24.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 25.17% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.01% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (0.125 0.13)46.6% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (0.115 0.11)68.87% (-0.116 -0.12)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.085999999999999 0.09)18.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (0.142 0.14)49.51% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)69.15% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 50.77%
    FC Cincinnati 25.18%
    Draw 24.05%
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.77%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.18%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati

New York Red Bulls
11.8%
Draw
23.5%
FC Cincinnati
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Amaya (90')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
May 24, 2023
12.30am
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
First Round
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Morgan (48')
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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