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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
4 - 0
Toronto

Farias (45+3'), Taylor (54', 87'), Cremaschi (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 5-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

The hosts' main goal is to reach the playoff spots this season, and with key personnel expected to return to the squad for this match, we should see a much better display than they managed last week against Atlanta. Toronto's away record this season has been woeful, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
59.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 21.57% (0.0039999999999978 0) 18.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.123 -0.12)42.94% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.122 -0.12)65.34% (0.123 0.12)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.08% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)41.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.148 -0.15)36.35% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.149 -0.15)73.13% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 59.44%
    Toronto 18.99%
    Draw 21.56%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.99%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
89.5%
Draw
7.9%
Toronto
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 1am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Toronto
0-1
Inter Miami
Mavinga (31'), Laryea (61'), Delgado (67')
Lawrence (37')
Gregore (53'), Robinson (68'), Gonzalez Pirez (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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