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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Athletic Bilbao logo

Granada
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (6')
Williams (78'), Berchiche (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Granada and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Granada
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

We are expecting this to be a close match in terms of the general play and indeed the scoreline, but Athletic are in excellent form at the moment, and we believe that the Lions will be able to navigate their way to what would be an important victory at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
23.58% (1.385 1.39) 24.3% (0.849 0.85) 52.12% (-2.24 -2.24)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (-2.137 -2.14)49.1% (2.131 2.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (-1.963 -1.96)71.18% (1.956 1.96)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (0.087999999999994 0.09)35.35% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (0.094000000000001 0.09)72.1% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (-1.64 -1.64)18.81% (1.634 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (-2.812 -2.81)50.25% (2.807 2.81)
Score Analysis
    Granada 23.58%
    Athletic Bilbao 52.11%
    Draw 24.3%
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.601 0.6)
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.238 0.24)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.32 0.32)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 23.58%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.43 0.43)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.562 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 11.1% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 9.28% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.37% (-0.379 -0.38)
0-3 @ 5.17% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.11%

How you voted: Granada vs Athletic Bilbao

Granada
12.0%
Draw
6.0%
Athletic Bilbao
82.0%
50
Head to Head
May 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 36
Granada
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Collado (35')
Quini (41'), Escudero (77'), Duarte (88'), Brice Eteki (90+2')

Vesga (72')
Vesga (85')
Nov 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Granada
Garcia (10'), Maximiano (76' og.)
Marcelino (53'), Zarraga (62')
Martinez (90+9')
Machis (25'), Molina (34')
Montoro (40'), Sanchez (77')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Granada
Villalibre (3'), Berenguer (90+1')
Garcia (28'), Vencedor (68')
Molina (78')
Herrera (59'), Diaz (90+5')
Sep 12, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Granada
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Herrera (49'), Milla (53')
Herrera (10'), Sanchez (45'), Gonalons (90+2')

Morcillo (15'), Martinez (52'), Lopez (72'), Alvarez (84')
Jul 19, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Villarreal35139135960-148
9Valencia34138133739-247
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
17Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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