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Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Fernando Astobiza
Athletic Bilbao logo

Cayon
0 - 3
Athletic Bilbao


Turrado Garrido (57'), Resines Gil (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Villalibre (22', 26' pen.), Williams (85')
Imanol (13')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Cayon and Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cayon

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Last Game: Ursaria 1-2 Cayon
Wednesday, November 1 at 4pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 87.58%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Cayon had a probability of 3.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 0-4 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Cayon win it was 1-0 (1.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
CayonDrawAthletic Bilbao
3.48% (0.5609 0.56) 8.94% (1.193 1.19) 87.58% (-1.757 -1.76)
Both teams to score 38.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.31% (-3.237 -3.24)29.69% (3.234 3.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.18% (-4.022 -4.02)50.81% (4.02 4.02)
Cayon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.29% (0.343 0.34)59.7% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.5% (0.176 0.18)90.5% (-0.179 -0.18)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.57% (-0.803 -0.8)4.43% (0.8 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.77% (-2.576 -2.58)18.22% (2.574 2.57)
Score Analysis
    Cayon 3.48%
    Athletic Bilbao 87.57%
    Draw 8.94%
CayonDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 1.36% (0.253 0.25)
2-1 @ 1.1% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 3.48%
1-1 @ 4.25% (0.566 0.57)
0-0 @ 2.64% (0.465 0.47)
2-2 @ 1.71% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 8.94%
0-3 @ 13.34% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 12.84% (0.87 0.87)
0-4 @ 10.4% (-0.58 -0.58)
0-1 @ 8.24% (1.017 1.02)
1-3 @ 6.88% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.515 0.52)
0-5 @ 6.49% (-0.801 -0.8)
1-4 @ 5.37% (-0.237 -0.24)
0-6 @ 3.37% (-0.659 -0.66)
1-5 @ 3.35% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.053 0.05)
1-6 @ 1.74% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-7 @ 1.5% (-0.408 -0.41)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 87.57%

How you voted: Cayon vs Athletic Bilbao

Cayon
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Athletic Bilbao
77.8%
9
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