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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Granada logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Granada

Diaz (26'), Rodrygo (57')
Bellingham (22'), Rudiger (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumbau (77')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Granada.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Granada.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Granada.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Napoli
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Alaves 3-1 Granada
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-0 Granada

Real Madrid have a number of injury problems at this moment in time, and Granada will certainly be the fresher of the two teams for this match. Los Blancos have not lost to Granada in Spain's top flight since February 2013, though, winning the last 14 La Liga matches between them, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable success for the division leaders this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 9.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawGranada
74.16% (0.17 0.17) 16.47% (0.055 0.05) 9.36% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 45.36% (-1.159 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (-1.019 -1.02)41.53% (1.016 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (-1.038 -1.04)63.93% (1.038 1.04)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.35% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)9.65% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.78% (-0.51299999999999 -0.51)32.22% (0.511 0.51)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.2% (-1.16 -1.16)49.79% (1.157 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.49% (-0.82 -0.82)84.51% (0.819 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 74.14%
    Granada 9.36%
    Draw 16.48%
Real MadridDrawGranada
2-0 @ 13.13% (0.35 0.35)
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.4 0.4)
3-0 @ 10.23% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 5.98% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.089 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 74.14%
1-1 @ 7.84% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 16.48%
0-1 @ 3.35% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 9.36%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Granada

Real Madrid
92.1%
Draw
3.9%
Granada
3.9%
76
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
1-0
Granada
Asensio (74')
Modric (69'), Asensio (75')

Sanchez (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Granada
1-4
Real Madrid
Suarez Charris (34')
Montoro (62')
Monchu (67'), Moreno (69')
Asensio (19'), Nacho (25'), Junior (56'), Mendy (76')
Isco (80')
May 13, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 36
Granada
1-4
Real Madrid
Molina (71')
Molina (41'), Brice Eteki (53'), Quina (72')
Modric (17'), Rodrygo (45+1'), Odriozola (75'), Benzema (76')
Militao (38'), Modric (49'), Nacho (63')
Dec 23, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 15
Real Madrid
2-0
Granada
Casemiro (57'), Benzema (90+4')
Vazquez (17'), Carvajal (81')

Foulquier (27'), Martinez (45+2')
Jul 13, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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