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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Mallorca logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Mallorca

Griezmann (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca

Mallorca are capable of making this a tricky match, with the visitors drawing half of their league games this season. Atletico are so strong at home, though, and we are expecting them to record their 10th league victory of the campaign this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
71.27% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 17.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)42.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)64.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)47.24% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.33% (-0.058 -0.06)82.67% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 71.26%
    Mallorca 10.98%
    Draw 17.75%
Atletico MadridDrawMallorca
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.28% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 71.26%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.75%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 10.98%

How you voted: Atletico vs Mallorca

Atletico Madrid
96.1%
Draw
3.9%
Mallorca
0.0%
51
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Mallorca
De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
Nastasic (20')
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Jul 3, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Villarreal35139135960-148
9Valencia34138133739-247
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
17Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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