Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
43.36% ( -0.12) | 26.99% ( -0) | 29.65% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.25% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.29% ( 0.07) | 55.71% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.15% ( 0.06) | 76.85% ( -0.06) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% ( -0.03) | 25.48% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.68% ( -0.04) | 60.32% ( 0.05) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( 0.14) | 33.92% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% ( 0.15) | 70.59% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |