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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 3
Atletico


Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Getafe
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico are flying at the moment, and we are backing them to post a fifth straight league win over Celta this weekend. Simeone's side recorded a 1-0 victory in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring on Saturday, which would make it six wins in a row for Atletico in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
32.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 39.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.64% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)55.77% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (0.038 0.04)76.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.028000000000006 0.03)31.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.1% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (0.02300000000001 0.02)27.34% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (0.030999999999999 0.03)62.79% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 32.83%
    Atletico Madrid 39.91%
    Draw 27.26%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.83%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.91%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Atletico

Celta Vigo
14.0%
Draw
10.8%
Atletico Madrid
75.3%
93
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Veiga (71')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Atletico
2-2
Celta Vigo
Suarez (45', 50')
Felipe (23'), Gimenez (67')
Mina (13'), Ferreyra (89')
Tapia (5'), Suarez (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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