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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's La Liga clash with Alaves.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-0 Alaves
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 0-2 Real Madrid

 Alaves boss Garcia is seeking major improvements from his side following their below-par performance against Girona last time out, but keeping a rampant Real Madrid outfit quiet on Thursday will be a tall order. Los Blancos, who will be motivated by the prospect of entering 2024 at the top of the table if they beat Alaves and Girona drop points at Real Betis, should have few problems claiming maximum points at Mendizorroza where they have had plenty of success in recent years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
26.43% (0.354 0.35) 25.78% (0.0030000000000001 0) 47.79% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 50.73% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.226 0.23)52.76% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.193 0.19)74.39% (-0.193 -0.19)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (0.41499999999999 0.41)34.88% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.436 0.44)71.62% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)22.08% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)55.44% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 26.43%
    Real Madrid 47.78%
    Draw 25.78%
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 11.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.78%

How you voted: Alaves vs Real Madrid

Alaves
4.1%
Draw
6.8%
Real Madrid
89.2%
148
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417
> La Liga Full Table


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