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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
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Real Madrid
4 - 1
Villarreal

Bellingham (25'), Rodrygo (37'), Diaz (64'), Modric (68')
Bellingham (67'), Tchouameni (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Luis Morales (54')
Altimira (67'), Akhomach (74'), Capoue (85')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Rennes 2-3 Villarreal
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Villarreal

 Villarreal's league form this season has been disappointing, but they are more than capable of making this a very tricky match for Real Madrid. The hosts might have to suffer on Sunday, but we are expecting them to navigate their way to what would be a hugely important three points in terms of the title race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
66.19% (0.10900000000001 0.11) 18.08% (-0.251 -0.25) 15.73% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.46% (1.358 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.75% (1.558 1.56)32.24% (-1.561 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.15% (1.791 1.79)53.85% (-1.794 -1.79)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9% (0.446 0.45)9.1% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.1% (1.062 1.06)30.9% (-1.065 -1.07)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (1.171 1.17)33.49% (-1.174 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (1.261 1.26)70.13% (-1.263 -1.26)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 66.19%
    Villarreal 15.73%
    Draw 18.08%
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.47 -0.47)
3-0 @ 7% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.138 0.14)
4-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.152 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.109 0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.096 0.1)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 66.19%
1-1 @ 7.99% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.08%
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.33% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 15.73%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid
87.4%
Draw
8.0%
Villarreal
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
2-3
Villarreal
Torres (16' og.), Junior (48')
Chukwueze (39', 80'), Luis Morales (70')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Villarreal
2-3
Real Madrid
Capoue (4'), Chukwueze (42')
Junior (57'), Militao (69'), Ceballos (86')
> Match Report
Jan 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Villarreal
2-1
Real Madrid
Pino (47'), Moreno (63' pen.)
Benzema (60' pen.)
> Match Report
Feb 12, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Villarreal
0-0
Real Madrid
Foyth (23'), Albiol (51')
Militao (23'), Asensio (29'), Bale (45+2'), Casemiro (88')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
0-0
Villarreal
Junior (40')
Coquelin (55'), Gomez (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517
> La Liga Full Table


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