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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Willem II

Ajax
3 - 1
Willem II

Klaassen (51'), Brobbey (83'), Tadic (87')
Schuurs (89'), Blind (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavlidis (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawWillem II
79.33%12.41%8.26%
Both teams to score 57.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.86%24.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.2%43.8%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.24%4.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.75%19.25%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67%39.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97%76.03%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 79.33%
    Willem II 8.26%
    Draw 12.41%
AjaxDrawWillem II
3-0 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.68%
3-1 @ 8.23%
2-1 @ 8.1%
4-0 @ 6.72%
4-1 @ 6.27%
1-0 @ 5.7%
5-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.84%
5-1 @ 3.82%
4-2 @ 2.93%
6-0 @ 2.08%
6-1 @ 1.94%
5-2 @ 1.78%
4-3 @ 0.91%
6-2 @ 0.91%
7-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 79.33%
1-1 @ 5.32%
2-2 @ 3.78%
0-0 @ 1.87%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 12.41%
1-2 @ 2.48%
0-1 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 8.26%

How you voted: Ajax vs Willem II

Ajax
81.7%
Draw
7.3%
Willem II
11.0%
82
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 14
Willem II
1-1
Ajax
Antony (4')
Antony (66')
Apr 26, 2020 1.30pm
Dec 6, 2019 7.15pm
Gameweek 16
Ajax
0-2
Willem II

Dest (40')
Tresor Ndayishimiye (42' pen.), Dankerlui (78')
Llonch (3')
May 5, 2019 5pm
Final
Willem II
0-4
Ajax

Llonch (78')
Blind (38'), Huntelaar (39', 67'), Kristensen (76')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Willem II
1-4
Ajax
Isak (26' pen.)
Crowley (13'), Lewis (29')
Van de Beek (14'), Heerkens (41' og.), Veltman (53'), Ziyech (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
7NECNijmegen311211859471247
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
17FC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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