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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
32.19% | 24.9% | 42.92% |
Both teams to score 57.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.91% | 46.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.61% | 68.39% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.72% | 27.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.28% | 62.73% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% | 21.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% | 54.54% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 7.62% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.19% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
7 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |