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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-3 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
9.95% | 14.1% | 75.95% |
Both teams to score 57.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.77% | 27.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.21% | 47.79% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.56% | 38.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.81% | 75.19% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.06% | 5.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.28% | 22.72% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 2.95% 1-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.33% 2-0 @ 1.04% 3-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.51% Total : 9.95% | 1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.16% 0-0 @ 2.28% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.1% | 0-2 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-4 @ 6.05% 1-4 @ 5.79% 2-3 @ 3.92% 0-5 @ 3.42% 1-5 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.77% 0-6 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.56% 1-6 @ 1.54% Other @ 5.01% Total : 75.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |