MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 21:54:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Augsburg logo

Mainz
1 - 0
Augsburg

van den Berg (43')
Jae-sung (35'), Kohr (90+7'), van den Berg (90+14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dahmen (45+5'), Gouweleeuw (90+8')
Pedersen (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Augsburg

Mainz have been very poor this season and look destined for the drop unless they can manage a major turnaround in the second half of the league campaign. However, having recorded only one victory in 21 matches to date, it is difficult to make much of a case for them in this one. This will certainly not be an easy match for Augsburg, but we are backing them to claim the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Augsburg has a probability of 26.47% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Augsburg win is 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
49.3% (0.526 0.53) 24.22% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 26.47% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.73% (-0.16 -0.16)46.27% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.152 -0.15)68.56% (0.148 0.15)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.149 0.15)18.83% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.249 0.25)50.27% (-0.252 -0.25)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.458 -0.46)31.38% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.532 -0.53)67.76% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 49.3%
    Augsburg 26.47%
    Draw 24.22%
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.095 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.47%

How you voted: Mainz vs Augsburg

Mainz 05
31.0%
Draw
31.0%
Augsburg
37.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Demirovic (15', 45')
Dorsch (90+1'), Beljo (90+5')
Engels (62')
Ajorque (6')
Gruda (74'), Zentner (77'), Jae-sung (90+7')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
3-1
Augsburg
Jae-sung (21', 52'), Onisiwo (24')
Demirovic (28' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-2
Mainz
Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')
Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')
Apr 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Gouweleeuw (11' pen.), Vargas (56')
Gruezo (75'), Gouweleeuw (76'), Gumny (80')
Widmer (54')
Bell (15'), Widmer (83')
Oct 22, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Mainz
4-1
Augsburg
Onisiwo (10'), Bell (15'), Burkardt (26', 71')
Caricol (70')
Zeqiri (69')
Oxford (8'), Gouweleeuw (63'), Vargas (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Freiburg33119134456-1242
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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