Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund1 - 1Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Mainz 05
Ending a tumultuous year that has featured a painful title failure but more recently seen unexpected success in Europe, Borussia Dortmund should secure maximum points against goal-shy Mainz 05. Gaining a small slice of revenge for May's final-day failure, BVB can score at least once - and even their shaky defence can hold out against the Bundesliga's second-weakest attack. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
47.68% ( 1.49) | 22.05% ( 0.11) | 30.26% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 66.4% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
