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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Crystal Palace logo

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

Watkins (69')
Mings (9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Crystal Palace

Palace will enter this match full of confidence, but Villa had also been on a strong run before the setback against Liverpool. There is not an awful lot between the two teams, demonstrated by the league table, and we can see the pair playing out a low-scoring draw on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
43.05% (0.756 0.76) 25.89% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 31.06% (-0.691 -0.69)
Both teams to score 53.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (0.045999999999999 0.05)50.81% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)72.7% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.39099999999999 0.39)23.46% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.565 0.57)57.47% (-0.569 -0.57)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)30.38% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.534 -0.53)66.57% (0.532 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 43.05%
    Crystal Palace 31.06%
    Draw 25.89%
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.06%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa
58.5%
Draw
27.2%
Crystal Palace
14.3%
147
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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