MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 06:50:01| >> :600:122530:122530:
Olympiacos
Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Aston Villa logo

Olympiacos
2 - 0
Aston Villa

El Kaabi (10', 78')
Rodinei (30'), Podence (53'), Quini (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luiz (45+5'), Iroegbunam (73'), Duran (89')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa fail to progress to the Europa Conference League final after losing 6-2 on aggregate to Olympiacos in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
61.41% (0.256 0.26) 20.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 18.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.26% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.59% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)12.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (0.172 0.17)38.13% (-0.168 -0.17)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)35.11% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (-0.184 -0.18)71.86% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 61.41%
    Aston Villa 18.12%
    Draw 20.46%
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 18.12%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Aston Villa

Olympiacos
40.3%
Draw
13.8%
Aston Villa
45.9%
283
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Aston Villa
2-4
Olympiacos
Watkins (45+1'), Diaby (52')
Diaby (83')
El Kaabi (16', 29', 56'), Hezze (67')
Fortounis (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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