Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Burnley |
49.62% ( 0.02) | 25.63% ( -0.01) | 24.75% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.63% ( 0.02) | 53.37% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.09% ( 0.02) | 74.91% ( -0.01) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.47% ( 0.02) | 21.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.4% ( 0.02) | 54.6% ( -0.02) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.35% | 36.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( -0) | 73.43% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.61% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |