MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 07:45:15| >> :600:137911:137911:
Leverkusen logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Roma logo

B. Leverkusen
vs.
Roma

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Roma (Bayer Leverkusen win 3-0 on aggregate)

Roma's away record is far from special, and Leverkusen are an immovable object, so an almighty upset is required to send the away side through. Though the Giallorossi possess plenty of nous, gleaned from their recent European exploits, Xabi Alonso's finely-tuned machine will find a way to win on the night and claim a place in the Europa League final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw has a probability of 19% and a win for Roma has a probability of 14.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Roma win it is 1-2 (4.11%).

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRoma
66.53% (-0.41799999999999 -0.42) 18.99% (0.134 0.13) 14.47% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 53.64% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.47% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)11% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)35.29% (0.238 0.24)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.381 0.38)39.72% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (0.351 0.35)76.39% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 66.53%
    Roma 14.47%
    Draw 18.99%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRoma
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.83% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.32% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 66.53%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.99%
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.04% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 14.47%

Who will win Thursday's Europa League clash between B. Leverkusen and Roma?

Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
Roma
Bayer Leverkusen
78.2%
Draw
11.8%
Roma
10.0%
110
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Roma
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Pellegrini (30'), Spinazzola (74'), Cristante (78')
Wirtz (28'), Andrich (73')
Tah (16'), Xhaka (74'), Andrich (76')
May 18, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Roma
Hincapie (45+3'), Palacios (56'), Bakker (70'), Tapsoba (90+7'), Frimpong (90+10'), Diaby (90'), Alonso (90+8')
Ibanez (70'), Cristante (89'), Abraham (90+9')
May 11, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Roma
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Bove (63')
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Roma
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Salah (2'), Dzeko (29'), Pjanic (80' pen.)
Torosidis (91'), Szczesny (94')
Mehmedi (46'), Hernandez (51')
Papadopoulos (61')
Toprak (79')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
4-4
Roma
Hernandez (4' pen., 19'), Kampl (84'), Mehmedi (86')
Kramer (36'), Wendell (90')
De Rossi (29', 37'), Pjanic (54'), Falque (73')
Nainggolan (24'), de Rossi (34')
rhs 2.0
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