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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
First Tennessee Park
New York Red Bulls

Nashville
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls


Picault (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tolkin (90+4' pen.)
Reyes (39'), Amaya (45+1'), Nealis (45+6'), Duncan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-3 New York Red Bulls

Given the stakes of Saturday's game, we expect New York Red Bulls to throw the kitchen sink in search of all three points at Geodis Park. The Red Bulls have enjoyed the better of this fixture and given their current run of form, we fancy them to extend their dominance over Nashville.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew York Red Bulls
50.73% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 25.65% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.62% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.52% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)54.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.74% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.46% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)54.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78% (0.043999999999997 0.04)38.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)74.98% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 50.73%
    New York Red Bulls 23.62%
    Draw 25.65%
Nashville SCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Nashville vs NY Red Bulls

Nashville SC
26.9%
Draw
26.9%
New York Red Bulls
46.2%
26
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Nashville
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Williams (37')
Godoy (76')
Gomes (1')
Davis (14'), Diarra (86')
Jun 19, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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