Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw has a probability of 21.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.4%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it is 0-1 (5.45%).
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
59.73% ( 0.18) | 21.92% ( -0.03) | 18.34% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.31% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.48% ( -0.13) | 45.51% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.16% ( -0.12) | 67.84% ( 0.12) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( 0.02) | 14.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.85% ( 0.03) | 43.14% ( -0.04) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.42% ( -0.26) | 38.57% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.67% ( -0.24) | 75.32% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.73% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 18.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |