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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
New York City

Philadelphia
vs.
NY City

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 2-3 NY City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We say: Philadelphia Union 2-2 New York City FC

 While New York City come into this fixture with momentum, they have struggled in defence on the road are yet to register their first away clean sheet this season. Philadelphia, on the other hand, have scored two goals in all but one of their home games this season but have shipped eight in their last three alone. There should be no shortage of goalmouth action in this one, but we feel these teams will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 24.48% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.49%).

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
51.31% (-2.18 -2.18) 24.21% (0.055 0.05) 24.48% (2.131 2.13)
Both teams to score 53.77% (2.31 2.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (1.849 1.85)47.9% (-1.842 -1.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (1.677 1.68)70.08% (-1.671 -1.67)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.136 -0.14)18.67% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (-0.233 -0.23)50% (0.24 0.24)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (2.949 2.95)33.89% (-2.943 -2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (3.064 3.06)70.57% (-3.057 -3.06)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 51.31%
    New York City FC 24.48%
    Draw 24.21%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.88 -0.88)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.787 -0.79)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.466 -0.47)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.2 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.497 -0.5)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.379 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.478 0.48)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.3 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.332 0.33)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.271 0.27)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.48%

Who will win Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia and NY City?

Philadelphia Union
Draw
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
New York City FC
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Andres Martinez (23'), Donovan (81')
Jasson (86')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Philadelphia
Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
3-1
NY City
Carranza (65'), Gazdag (67'), Burke (76')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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