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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
New York City

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
NY City

Fernandez (76')
Reyes (67'), Nealis (72'), Tolkin (81'), Casseres Jr (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Parks (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 NY City
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-2 New York City FC

Aside from last year, Red Bull Arena has not been kind to the Boys in Blue, but NYCFC have not played as poorly on the road as their record indicates, and things in this league have a way of eventually evening themselves out. The Red Bulls have not shown nearly enough when in possession to suggest that they have fixed their attacking frailties, and we believe the Pigeons will be able to find a way through a side that are about as low as we have seen domestically in quite some time.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
48.23% (1.065 1.07) 26.62% (-0.126 -0.13) 25.15% (-0.938 -0.94)
Both teams to score 47.25% (-0.419 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.23% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)56.77% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (-0.121 -0.12)77.71% (0.122 0.12)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.432 0.43)23.59% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (0.619 0.62)57.66% (-0.617 -0.62)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-0.90199999999999 -0.9)38.17% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (-0.877 -0.88)74.93% (0.879 0.88)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 48.23%
    New York City FC 25.15%
    Draw 26.62%
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 13% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.287 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 48.23%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 9% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 25.15%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Jul 17, 2022 10pm
NY Red Bulls
0-1
NY City

Casseres Jr (84'), Amaya (86'), Nealis (90+4')
Castellanos (69')
Morales (41'), Acevedo (71'), Castellanos (88')
Oct 17, 2021 6pm
gameweek 40
NY Red Bulls
1-0
NY City
Casseres Jr (3')
Nealis (16'), Davis (21')

Chanot (34'), Amundsen (82')
Sep 26, 2021 1am
gameweek 35
NY City
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Sands (62'), Castellanos (75')
Fernandez (43')
Tolkin (13'), Duncan (85')
Sep 23, 2021 1am
gameweek 27
NY Red Bulls
1-1
NY City
Klimala (90+12' pen., 90+12' pen.)
Davis (45'), Reyes (61'), Klimala (80'), Duncan (82'), Clark (84')
Castellanos (31')
Callens (21'), Tinnerholm (44'), Chanot (84')
Parks (73'), Chanot (90+10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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