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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Sociedad
3 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Le Normand (30'), Kubo (48'), Oyarzabal (66')
Merino (44'), Zubeldia (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herrera (29'), Vivian (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Getafe
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with both sides in strong form in the early stages of the season. It would not be a surprise to see a winner here either way, but we just have a feeling that the two teams will share the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
34.83% (0.675 0.68) 28.22% (0.138 0.14) 36.95% (-0.812 -0.81)
Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.92% (-0.45 -0.45)59.08% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.47% (-0.349 -0.35)79.53% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.215 0.22)32.04% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.245 0.24)68.5% (-0.244 -0.24)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.72 -0.72)30.68% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.859 -0.86)66.93% (0.86000000000001 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.82%
    Athletic Bilbao 36.95%
    Draw 28.21%
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.82%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 36.95%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad
47.9%
Draw
39.4%
Athletic Bilbao
12.7%
71
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Sociedad
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Sancet (40')
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
Oct 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Isak (58' pen.)
Isak (71'), Januzaj (74'), Merino (78'), Guevara (90+3')
Muniain (90+1')
Martinez (56'), de Marcos (59')
Martinez (84')
Apr 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 29
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (89')
Munoz (12'), Zubeldia (38'), Zubimendi (84')
Villalibre (85')
Garcia (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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