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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Almeria

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Almeria

Bellingham (57' pen.), Junior (67'), Carvajal (90+9')
Camavinga (90+8'), Carvajal (90+10'), Bellingham (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ramazani (1'), Gonzalez (43')
Ramazani (52'), Garitano (53'), Lopy (64'), Pozo (74'), Gonzalez (84'), Suarez Charris (90+11')
Garitano (90+7')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Almeria.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Almeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Almeria

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Girona
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Almeria

 There has certainly been an improvement in Almeria's recent performances, and the return of Suarez in an attacking area will boost their survival hopes. Real Madrid have had a tiring start to 2024, and we are not expecting Ancelotti's side to be at their best here, but the hosts should have enough to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 82.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 6.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.52%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
82.52% (0.78700000000001 0.79) 10.75% (-0.439 -0.44) 6.73% (-0.353 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.77% (0.961 0.96)21.22% (-0.966 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.18% (1.331 1.33)39.82% (-1.336 -1.34)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.23% (0.27500000000001 0.28)3.77% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.87% (0.902 0.9)16.12% (-0.907 -0.91)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.4% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)77.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 82.52%
    Almeria 6.73%
    Draw 10.75%
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
3-0 @ 8.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 7.33% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 6.64% (0.109 0.11)
1-0 @ 4.99% (-0.251 -0.25)
5-0 @ 4.81% (0.183 0.18)
5-1 @ 4.36% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 3.01% (0.048 0.05)
6-0 @ 2.63% (0.156 0.16)
6-1 @ 2.38% (0.14 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.97% (0.074 0.07)
7-0 @ 1.23% (0.098 0.1)
7-1 @ 1.12% (0.089 0.09)
6-2 @ 1.08% (0.064 0.06)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 82.52%
1-1 @ 4.52% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-0 @ 1.52% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 10.75%
1-2 @ 2.05% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 1.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 6.73%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Almeria

Real Madrid
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Almeria
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Almeria
1-3
Real Madrid
Arribas (3')
Chumi (59')
Bellingham (19', 60'), Junior (73')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Real Madrid
4-2
Almeria
Benzema (5', 17', 42' pen.), Rodrygo (47')
Lazaro (45+1'), Robertone (61')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 1
Almeria
1-2
Real Madrid
Ramazani (6')
Sadiq (40'), Curro (67'), Puigmal (86')
Vazquez (61'), Alaba (75')
Camavinga (40')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2015 7pm
Real Madrid
3-0
Almeria
> Match Report
Dec 12, 2014 7.45pm
Almeria
1-4
Real Madrid
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517
> La Liga Full Table


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