Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 30.1% and a draw has a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.07%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.02%).