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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Atletico Madrid logo

Granada
0 - 1
Atletico


Boye (75'), Batalla (90+5'), Medina (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (54')
Niguez (72'), Savic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Granada and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-0 Granada
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Granada 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Granada's best performances have come at home this season, while Atletico have not been too impressive on their travels. Granada will also be the fresher of the two sides, but we are still expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to an important three points in Monday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
29.19% (0.78 0.78) 24.93% (0.18 0.18) 45.87% (-0.963 -0.96)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (-0.343 -0.34)47.58% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (-0.317 -0.32)69.79% (0.316 0.32)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.384 0.38)30.04% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.46100000000001 0.46)66.17% (-0.46300000000001 -0.46)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)20.79% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)53.44% (0.88 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Granada 29.19%
    Atletico Madrid 45.87%
    Draw 24.92%
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.185 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.87%

How you voted: Granada vs Atletico

Granada
9.0%
Draw
8.3%
Atletico Madrid
82.7%
133
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Atletico
3-1
Granada
Morata (45+4'), Depay (67'), Llorente (90+8')
Hermoso (39'), Morata (42'), Azpilicueta (90+4')
Omorodion Aghehowa (62')
Gumbau (10'), Lopez (45+7')
Apr 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
0-0
Granada
Mandava (29'), Savic (45+4'), De Paul (78'), Vrsaljko (85')
Quini (3'), Escudero (58'), Diaz (74'), Puertas (83'), Duarte (90+2')
Dec 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Granada
2-1
Atletico
Machis (17'), Molina (61')
Maximiano (66'), Ruiz (69'), Monchu (86'), Torrente (90+5')
Felix (2')
De Paul (7')
Feb 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Granada
1-2
Atletico
Herrera (66')
Llorente (63'), Correa (75')
Suarez (39'), Niguez (43'), Savic (77'), Koke (88'), Carrasco (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Atletico
6-1
Granada
Costa (9'), Correa (47'), Felix (65'), Llorente (72'), Suarez (85', 90+3')
Felix (27'), Niguez (59'), Partey (74')
Molina (87')
Duarte (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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